Tara Sinclair

photo: Tara Sinclair
Professor of Economics and International Affairs
Room 314 Monroe Hall
tsi[email protected]

Areas of Expertise

Macroeconomics and Econometrics

Tara Sinclair earned a B.A. in Foreign Languages from Wheaton College in Wheaton, Illinois, and an M.A. and Ph.D. in Economics from Washington University in St. Louis. Before starting graduate school, she worked as a commercial real estate appraiser in Chicago. She was also a visiting scholar at the St. Louis Federal Reserve.

Her research interests focus on modeling, explaining, and forecasting business cycle fluctuations and economic growth for different countries. Her publications include: "The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate," in the Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, "Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Friedman's Plucking Model with Correlated Innovations," in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, "Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach" with Sinchan Mitra in Macroeconomic Dynamics, and "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?" with Fred Joutz and H.O. Stekler in Economics Letters. She contributes regularly to the Survey of Professional Forecasters and is also co-director of the GWU Research Program on Forecasting. She teaches undergraduate and graduate courses in macroeconomics and econometrics.


Ph.D., Washington University in St. Louis


She contributes regularly to the Survey of Professional Forecasters and is also co-director of the GWU Research Program on Forecasting.


Classes Taught

ECON 2102 Intermediate Macroeconomic Theory
ECON 2123 Introduction to Econometrics
ECON 6218 Survey of Economics (Intermediate Macroeconomic Theory)
ECON 6379 Graduate Laboratory in Applied Econometrics - Macroeconomics